Page 9 - Monaco Economy 131
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“Around 23% of jobs are expected to change
          by 2027, including 69 million jobs that have
          been created and 83 million that have been
          scrapped ...” According to the World Economic
          Forum’s (WEF) latest Report on the Future
          of Employment, a veritable revolution is
          underway in the short and medium term. As
          shown in the estimates of 803 companies
          surveyed , employers foresee a net reduction
                *
          of 14 million jobs, that is 2% of current
          employment. Macro-trends, including the
          green transition, ESG standards and the
          localisation of supply chains are the main
          drivers of job growth. While economic
          challenges such as high inflation, slowing
          economic growth and supply shortages pose
          the greatest threat. “Over the past three years,
          against a backdrop of COVID-19, together
          with geopolitical and economic changes,
          people around the world have experienced
          upheaval and uncertainty regarding their
          lives and livelihoods. Rapid advances in
          AI and other technologies now risk adding   © FreePik
          even more to the uncertainty ”: said Saadia
          Zahidi, Chief Executive Officer of the WEF.   This need should encourage the private and   even the French Minister of Social Affairs,
          The good news is that there is a clear   public sectors to consider concerted action to   Christophe Robino, stresses in this issue that
          solution to ensure resilience. Governments   ensure a smooth transition to the jobs of the   higher wages are a key for attracting, as is a
          and businesses must, through investment,   future. This includes Monaco, where vocational   mobility policy that would improve commuter
          support the transition to the jobs of tomorrow   training is virtually non-existent due to a lack   services (see Zoom ME n°130). For example,
          via education, retraining and social support   of funding. Today a partnership between   while pay is lower in France, Monegasque
          structures that can ensure that individuals   FEDEM and the State enables companies   employees work 39 hours rather than 35. In the
          are at the very core of the future of work.”  to benefit from a government rebate of   banking sector, for example, “major financial
                                              30% (excluding VAT) of the total invoice for   centres in European capitals or further afield
          The need for training               foreign languages, French for foreigners, IT/  offer more attractive salaries, or at any rate
          In a world where technologies are evolving   office automation, digitalisation, reception   more attractive packages than we offer”,
          at breakneck speed, the professions of the   techniques, management/accounting, payroll   acknowledged Jean Castellini, in charge of
          future are obviously linked to Big Data and   management, anti-money laundering (LCB/  state finances at the time.
          AI. “The roles of data analysts and scientists,   FT-P-C). For training courses in management,   In conclusion, in this fast-changing world
          Big Data specialists, AI and machine learning   communication and human resources, the   of work, and faced with constantly evolving
          specialists and cybersecurity professionals   government rebate is 25% exclusive of tax of   professions, our reading grid has changed.
          are expected to increase by an average of   the total cost of training, capped at €10,000   Education must adapt, and lifelong learning
          30% by 2027. AI is expected to be adopted by   per year and per company.  is becoming an essential key to adapt to the
          almost 75% of the companies surveyed, and   In  the  WEF  report,  36%  of  companies   new demands of the job market, developing
          this will result in a high turnover. Indeed, 50% of   acknowledge that offering higher salaries   employees’ skills in order to guarantee that they
          organisations expect that jobs will be created,   could help them attract talent in response to   are employable. According to a study carried
          and 25% expect that jobs will be lost ...” states   the cost-of-living crisis. According to the latest   out by Dell and the Institute for the Future,
          the survey, which also bets on a growth in jobs   IMSEE figures, salaries have certainly risen   85% of the jobs in 2030 do not yet exist...
          related to the green transition, climate change   in Monaco. In 2023, half of all private-sector   Monaco Economie explores these issues in
          mitigation and agriculture.         employees earned more than 3,256 euros   this special report.
          Another underlying trend: “A shortage of skills   gross per month (with the median salary up
          and the inability to attract talent are the main   5.2% on 2022), while the gross average salary   *The  Future  of  Employment  Report  maps  out  the  jobs  and
                                                                                   skills of tomorrow, keeping pace with the rate of change. This
          obstacles to transformation, pointing to a   was 4,841 euros. One employee in ten earned   is the fourth edition of the report, which was first launched in
          clear need for training and retraining in all   less than 2,241 euros gross, while the highest-  2016. It aims to analyse how macro-trends and the adoption of
          business sectors. Six out of ten workers will   paying sectors were (inevitably) financial   technology are likely to reconfigure labour markets and shape
                                                                                   the demand for jobs and skills over the 2023 – 2027 period.
          need training before 2027, but at the present   activities (6,305 euros gross), information   The  Future  of  Employment  Survey  gathers  the  views  of  803
          time only half of all employees seem to have   and communication (4,195 euros gross) and   companies, collectively employing over 11.3 million workers in
                                                                                   27 industry sectors and 45 economies from all regions of the
          access to adequate training opportunities.   wholesale trade (3,747 euros gross)... However,   world.

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