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MEB: «The situation will remain very complicated in Europe»



          Invited by the Monaco Economic Board , Jean-Pierre Petit, President of LCV Research (Cahiers
                                                      *
          Verts de l’Économie), analysed the global economic situation and called for caution in investment
          choices in 2024.
                                                                                                        By Milena Radoman

                                              and 4.2% in 2024), weighed down by excess   The B2B Rendez-vous
                                              capacity and a struggling real estate sector.  More than 320 business leaders
                                                                                      and a host of VIPs attended the
                                              What is the outlook for stock market returns?  46  Rendezvous for Members of
                                                                                        th
                                              investment consultancy specialist Jean-  the Monaco Economic Board (MEB)
                                              Pierre Petit gave his advice on the prospects   held on 19 September at the Yacht
                                              to be favoured and adopted in the short to   Club de Monaco, in the presence of
                                              medium term, with a focus on the stock
         © MEB / Sébastien Darrasse           market, corporate bonds, money market and   of the National Council, and the new
                                                                                      Brigitte Boccone Pagès, President
                                              commodities. "We need to be cautious in our
                                                                                      French Ambassador to Monaco, Jean
                                              investment choices", he reminded us, wary
                                                                                      D'Haussonville. This event was unlike
                                              stock market returns, even if the trend is likely
           Jean-Pierre Petit, Président des Cahiers de Verts de   of the prevailing optimism in the outlook for   any other, as it was preceded by a
                                                                                      session of individual meetings. Spread
           l’Économie / President of LCV Research
                                              to remain favourable. Finally, in his opinion,   over 26 numbered tables with timers,
                                              "artificial intelligence - which is very much in   more than a hundred meetings took
          Rising extremism, inequality, climate shocks...   vogue - adds nothing in terms of diversification   place with 93 representatives from 70
          Faced with the various global threats,   compared to tech in general".      MEB member companies. Each year,
          economist Jean-Pierre Petit could hardly   Following on from this conference, the MEB   one of the four members' sessions
          paint an optimistic picture of the international   is due to welcome Ludovic Subran, Chief   focuses on these B2B meetings. "The
          economic situation before the Principality's   Economist of the Allianz Group, in October to   MEB's permanent team is dedicated to
          120 decision-makers gathered by the Monaco   enable Monegasque entrepreneurs to better   a single goal: helping you to develop
          Economic Board in mid-September. While   anticipate their strategy for the months ahead.   your business", C.E.O. Guillaume Rose
          the American economy can count on rising   The theme is: "How should we prepare for the   reminded the business leaders present.
          productivity, controlled inflation and GDP   second Cold War?"              “For us, not one of you is 'small', no
          growth estimated at 2.2% in 2023 (1.1% in                                   one amongst you is unimportant, you
          2024), the unpredictability of the upcoming   *in partnership with Jutheau Husson.  are all equal in our determination to
                                              ** In an interview with Monaco Info.
          2024 presidential election is a real source                                 help you succeed". It remains to be
          of concern. As for Europe, Jean-Pierre Petit                                seen how many deals were done as a
          is of the opinion that it is undoubtedly the                                result of these networking activities. In
          continent most handicapped by the crises                                    any case, according to the satisfaction
          that are shaking the world, starting with the                               survey carried out afterwards, 100% of
          war in Ukraine, which is having a more direct                               respondents recommended attending
          impact on Eurozone countries, with inflation                                this session...
          set to fall more slowly. Among the "vectors for
          improvement", the President of LCV Research
          lists "disinflation, which will allow financial
          markets to breathe". However, "the situation in
          Europe will remain very complicated and slow.
          The Eurozone's leading economy, Germany, is
          in greater difficulty than the other countries.
          All the dogmas of Angela Merkel's politics are
          now being called into question by the economic                          © MEB / Sébastien Darrasse
          and geopolitical transformation of the world",
          observes the economist , who believes that
                            **
          Europe is nevertheless adapting and resisting,   De g à d : Guillaume Rose, Directeur Général Exécutif du
          thanks in particular to Italy and France. "Good   MEB ; Jean-Pierre Petit, Président des Cahiers de Verts de
                                               l’Économie ; Hervé Husson, Président de Jutheau Husson
          news for Monaco...". In Asia, Jean-Pierre Petit   From l to r: Guillaume Rose, C.E.O. of MEB; Jean-Pierre
          is betting on the continued rise of India, ahead   Petit, President of LCV Research; Hervé Husson, President
          of China (a growth forecast of 5.5% in 2023   of Jutheau Husson

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